Winning by attrition?
Here's a good one that was passed my way recently -
Either that, or there will be a heck of a lot of political blogs.
According to a Wall Street Journal column by Arthur C. Brooks, Democrats have a serious long-term political problem simply because they are not having enough babies:Maybe by 2050, one of my grandchildren or great-grandchildren will be elected to something in South Dakota. Since by then, my progeny will account for 30% of the electorate.
“According to the 2004 General Social Survey, if you picked 100 unrelated politically liberal adults at random, you would find that they had, between them, 147 children. If you picked 100 conservatives, you would find 208 kids. That's a "fertility gap" of 41%. Given that about 80% of people with an identifiable party preference grow up to vote the same way as their parents, this gap translates into lots more little Republicans than little Democrats to vote in future elections. …
A state that was split 50-50 between left and right in 2004 will tilt right by 2012, 54% to 46%. By 2020, it will be certifiably right-wing, 59% to 41%. A state that is currently 55-45 in favor of liberals (like California) will be 54-46 in favor of conservatives by 2020--and all for no other reason than babies.”
Either that, or there will be a heck of a lot of political blogs.
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