A contrast in styles Heidepreim versus Kelly on the radio
Poliglut, one of the readers of the website was kind enough to send me copies of two of the dueling commercials in the Heidepreim/Kelly race. Or in this case the Heidepreim/Kelly-Heineman race.
I'm not one for group campaigning, as I think it muddies the water.
But, listen, and decide for yourself who pulls it off better.
Heidepreim Commercial
Dick Kelly/Phyllis Heineman Commercial
I'm not one for group campaigning, as I think it muddies the water.
But, listen, and decide for yourself who pulls it off better.
Heidepreim Commercial
Dick Kelly/Phyllis Heineman Commercial
Comments
Kelly just needs to demonstrate that he's accomplished something because Heidepriem has tied himself so closely to this "let's get back to work" message that he'll look foolish if Kelly has already been working.
1 - Something passed by the legislature that has to go before the voters (C, F)
2 - Someone trying to reverse a legislative action (6, 7, 8)
3 - Someone attempting to pass on the ballot what they could not or would not get through the legislature (D, E, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8)
My biggest problem is Dick trying to take credit for Lewis and Clark. The local press and Congressional delegation have L&C in the news constantly. Even the dimest voter knows it's funded on the federal and local level, the State has next to nothing in the deal.
That's a real stretch for him to take credit and opens him up to get hammered by Heidepreim.
HUH? 70%? This is total fabrication.
Besides, if you ask the questions ...
... right track?"
... good leadership?"
... right direction?"
... right priorities?"
... getting the right things done?"
...you will get WILDLY different responses. Instrument error (survey wording) including subjective interpretations of the language and social desirability bias make this a TERRIBLE question to gauge or predict a race that is lower on the ballot.
Bordering on meaningless.
Ultimately, when you factor in down-ballot roll-off and a relative disconnect between voters and state candidates, voters will cast their ballot for the candidate that has captured the strongest position within their mind.
Stuff the poll. Focus on the race and the candidates.
Kelly isn't giving himself a chance. Heidepreim is campaigning hard and Kelly is doing what? Must be too busy working on Lewis & Clark...
This Kelly/Heineman ad is really bad though....I guess he's banking on people thinking the Legislature did a good job.
Kind of risky.