2 weeks to go to the election. What's the prognosis?
Two weeks from tonight, those who haven’t voted absentee will be going to the polls to cast their ballots for the direction of South Dakota. Will they go strongly “R,” will they go “D,” or will it be a mixed bag?
I think the Dems are probably wishing that the Sutton allegations had come out a few weeks earlier or a few weeks later. Right at the time they were starting to launch their common ground platform, the long simmering allegations boiled over with the complaint being officially filed by the page’s father. And instantly, it sucked all of the oxygen out of their earned media efforts.
If you go to the SDDP's website, you see 1, maybe 2 press releases since everything broke. And now as we cruise into the last two weeks, it's going to be tough to get any momentum back.
Before the finger pointing starts from anonymous commenters, don’t think it’s a great thing for Republicans either. Right at the time when some of our challenger candidates need some exposure, it’s taken the focus from us too.
However, unlike the Democrats who are checking under the couch cushions for spare change to buy ads, Republicans are much better off financially. The GOP has money to buy media, whereas various Democrats had been scaling back previous commitments.
Speaking of scaling back media commitments, can you tell its two weeks before the election by the amount of media that Dr. Billion has on the air? I think you can stick a fork in that potato. The “two week out assessment” is that Billion’s campaign is probably done. There’s limited signs of life for this patient, and few people out there are going to protest the conventional wisdom that there's no need to pull the plug. The patient is terminal.
Herseth's chances look brighter than her Gubernatorial compatriot from her performances in the recent debates, but there's no sign that Bruce Whalen is going to give up the fight. So, there should be some slugging in that race until the end.
Ron Volesky/Larry Long? Ha. Ha ha. The only people who are voting against Ron in greater numbers than Republicans? Democrats who are tired of him running...
The Jarrod Johnson/Bryce Healy race is likely to be the closest of the constitutional races. Both Johnson and Healy have been working hard and doing everything right. The question is if the GOP advantage in numbers will beat the inherent name ID power of incumbency.
The Kolbeck/Koskan race is not too far behind in competitiveness. Koskan has the electoral numbers, but Kolbeck has the advantage of being a democrat for an office which has traditionally always had at least one. Both have come across as earnest campaigners, so I can't call that one either.
2 weeks and counting down!
I think the Dems are probably wishing that the Sutton allegations had come out a few weeks earlier or a few weeks later. Right at the time they were starting to launch their common ground platform, the long simmering allegations boiled over with the complaint being officially filed by the page’s father. And instantly, it sucked all of the oxygen out of their earned media efforts.
If you go to the SDDP's website, you see 1, maybe 2 press releases since everything broke. And now as we cruise into the last two weeks, it's going to be tough to get any momentum back.
Before the finger pointing starts from anonymous commenters, don’t think it’s a great thing for Republicans either. Right at the time when some of our challenger candidates need some exposure, it’s taken the focus from us too.
However, unlike the Democrats who are checking under the couch cushions for spare change to buy ads, Republicans are much better off financially. The GOP has money to buy media, whereas various Democrats had been scaling back previous commitments.
Speaking of scaling back media commitments, can you tell its two weeks before the election by the amount of media that Dr. Billion has on the air? I think you can stick a fork in that potato. The “two week out assessment” is that Billion’s campaign is probably done. There’s limited signs of life for this patient, and few people out there are going to protest the conventional wisdom that there's no need to pull the plug. The patient is terminal.
Herseth's chances look brighter than her Gubernatorial compatriot from her performances in the recent debates, but there's no sign that Bruce Whalen is going to give up the fight. So, there should be some slugging in that race until the end.
Ron Volesky/Larry Long? Ha. Ha ha. The only people who are voting against Ron in greater numbers than Republicans? Democrats who are tired of him running...
The Jarrod Johnson/Bryce Healy race is likely to be the closest of the constitutional races. Both Johnson and Healy have been working hard and doing everything right. The question is if the GOP advantage in numbers will beat the inherent name ID power of incumbency.
The Kolbeck/Koskan race is not too far behind in competitiveness. Koskan has the electoral numbers, but Kolbeck has the advantage of being a democrat for an office which has traditionally always had at least one. Both have come across as earnest campaigners, so I can't call that one either.
2 weeks and counting down!
Comments
Billion's campaign has been a joke.
Billion will pull 7-10% more of the general vote than Whalen.
Still "should be some slugging in that race?" I think it will be more like arms flailing in a last ditch effort to keep Herseth from setting a new record for votes in a Congressional election.
And imagine what he could have done with $150,000. This race would have been over. Have you checked out the website with the Koskan grandchildren in Koskan onesies. What a good use of his money!
Giebink loss
Heidepreim win
Turbak loss
Rounds win
Herseth win
Feinstein win